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Creators/Authors contains: "Wells, Harry_B_M"

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  1. Abstract Irruptions in plant and animal populations are not uncommon, but the factors underlying irruptions are rarely explored quantitatively. In addition, it has been suggested that these irruptions may be reduced by predators or herbivores, but there is a paucity of controlled experimental evidence. Using data from the Kenya Long‐term Exclosure Experiment (KLEE), we show that populations of perennialHibiscusspp. (primarilyHibiscus flavifolius) show multiple short‐term irruptions a year after rainy periods, increasing in abundance in some cases by more than an order of magnitude before declining in ensuing months and years. We demonstrate that these irruptions are largely limited to experimental plots from which large mammalian herbivores have been excluded, particularly megaherbivores (elephants, mostly). This represents a rare controlled, replicated experimental demonstration of top‐down regulation of irruptions. African elephants and giraffes are often at greater risk of local extirpation than other large mammals, and their absence appears to destabilize this African savanna ecosystem. 
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  2. Abstract Climate models predict increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme‐weather events. The impacts of these events may be modulated by biotic agents in unpredictable ways, yet few experiments cover sufficient spatiotemporal scales to measure the interactive effects of multiple extreme events.We used 15 years of a 28‐year experiment spanning several significant droughts to investigate how rainfall, large herbivores, and soil‐engineering termites affect understorey vegetation in a semi‐arid savanna.Herbivory was the dominant influence on community structure—decreasing cover, increasing species richness, and favouring occurrence of annuals relative to perennials—but these effects were contingent on rainfall and termitaria in non‐additive (hence unpredictable) ways.A separate experiment showed that resource enrichment, mimicking the effects of termitaria, does not straightforwardly compensate for top‐down effects of herbivory.Synthesis. Our study highlights the potency of top‐down forcing in African savannas. It suggests impressive robustness to drought and underscores the value of multi‐decadal experiments for studying interactions among multiple drivers of ecosystem dynamics. 
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